Commit Graph
6 Commits
Author SHA1 Message Date
dodoxandClaude Sonnet 5 bf15c709ea Add planet environment-extra materials to capex calcs; buildcost.py tool
Every building needs a planet-hazard material bundle on top of its normal
BuildingCosts (SEA for low pressure, HSE for high pressure, MGC for low
gravity, BL for high gravity, INS for cold, TSH for heat - area-scaled
where applicable), confirmed against live in-game build panels on Nike.
FIO's own BuildRequirements field is an unreliable superset across hazard
types, not a direct per-building list - don't use it directly.

- puga/planet.py::environment_extras(): the real threshold table.
- tools/buildcost.py: full construction material list for one building,
  optionally on a given planet.
- Wired into whatif.py/buy.py (via simulate(planet=...)) and scan.py's
  own bcost(), so their capex numbers stop silently omitting this.
- docs/mechanics.md: the rule, plus a separate forum-sourced note on the
  CX order-cancellation penalty.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-10-17 19:03:51 +02:00
dodoxandClaude Sonnet 5 3f67cc7ed5 scan.py: real bid-depth liquidity flag, real-variance flow bound, profit/area
- max_units_at_impact(): walks the LIVE bid book for a genuine, ticker-
  specific instant-exit liquidity check, replacing a flat 25%-of-flow
  guess (a price-vs-volume elasticity regression was tried first and
  abandoned - confounded by demand-driven volume on real data). Surfaced
  as an [exit-thin] WARNING flag, not a hard cap - a single order-book
  snapshot is less reliable than the 30-day flow aggregate that still
  drives n_lim/filtering (using it as a hard cap once silently zeroed
  out a real recipe from one noisy snapshot).
- tref_precise(): real variance of daily traded volume instead of a
  Poisson unit-independence bound, wired into stage 2 only (bounded
  candidate set, cached). Also fixed: was averaging only over trading
  days, overstating flow ~3x for sparse tickers.
- n_out(): dropped the demand-coverage term, which penalized thin
  resting-bid books even though production sells via patient asks taken
  by walk-up buyers with no resting bid at all.
- --sort area: profit/day per tile of TOTAL footprint, now including the
  single-tier hab area a building's workforce drags along (was building
  area only).
- --deprec/--reclaim-frac: amortizes unreclaimed capex, not full capex -
  real FIO reclaim data showed 50-86% returned even at near-100%
  condition, contradicting a 100%->0 decay-curve assumption.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-10-10 23:06:49 +02:00
dodoxandClaude Sonnet 5 74d05009fb Charge real freight in network.py/whatif.py; drop "ROI/day %" terminology
network.py: tools/network.py now computes freight cost from the real fuel
model (puga.shipping.round_trip_cost) for direct-jump transfers instead of
the flat 9250 AIC placeholder; gateway transfers or an explicit trip_cost
in the chain YAML still use that as a fallback. puga/network.py's combine()
docstring now flags that its "flows cancel, only freight matters" claim
only holds under a symmetric-price basis (uni30, the default) - under
--basis real it understates the benefit of physical transfer by the
bid-ask spread on the moved quantity.

whatif.py: now charges marginal freight too - only the EXTRA round trips
an addition needs beyond the base's existing traffic, so a small addition
riding along on already-necessary hauls costs ~0, while one that adds
meaningfully to shipped tonnage doesn't get a free pass.

Terminology: "profit/day ÷ capex" was being reported as "ROI/day X%",
which invites reading it as a compoundable rate. It's just 1/payback_days -
there's no reinvestment mechanism and every opportunity here is
capacity/market-limited, so it can't be annualized like a real yield.
Payback in days is now the primary number everywhere (scan.py, simulate.py,
network.py, whatif.py); see docs/decisions.md for the reasoning.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-10-09 13:33:13 +02:00
dodoxandClaude Sonnet 5 58db08b921 Add multi-base chain modelling, fix price-band-aware demand/supply, tranche-split sell tool
- puga/network.py + tools/network.py: model a multi-base chain (e.g. mine LST at one base,
  ship it, consume it at another). Simulates each base independently, nets a transferred
  material's producer-surplus against consumer-need, charges real freight only on what's
  moved, cm_free for a founding covered by a Core Module Kit. Worked example in plans/chains/.
- puga/saturation.py: real price-band filtering. FIO's order_book NarrowPriceBandLow/High and
  WidePriceBandLow/High match APEX's own displayed Price Band exactly (verified live) - an
  order outside it is a stale artifact, not just uncompetitive. Added in_band() and
  effective_demand(); effective_supply() gained the same hard band filter alongside its
  existing soft vwap-proximity filter (renamed that param mult to free up `band`). Wired into
  tools/scan.py stage 2 in place of the raw, unfiltered demand figure. Was flagged as an
  unimplemented refinement in saturation-design.md since the original design review.
- tools/sell.py: self-contained tranche split (aggressive tranche capped at a volume quantile,
  median normally or 80th pct with --tight when a payment is imminent and stockout risk
  outweighs margin; patient tranche priced under the next competitor tier). Instant-bid
  comparison moved behind --show-bid (off by default).
- Docs and roadmap updated accordingly.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-09-25 14:32:09 +02:00
dodoxandClaude Sonnet 5 3bbf524ebb Add simulator replica, persistence, planet scan, README; split empire state out of the repo
- tools/simulate.py + puga/simulate.py: replica of PRUNplanner's simulator (flows and
  efficiency verified against screenshots), reports real new capex (planned minus built)
- tools/scan.py: staffing variants, freight, HQ/experts, --planet mode, demolish-later,
  --min-n as a pure market-size filter, --json output
- tools/history.py, tools/persistence.py: margin history and short-horizon payback checks
- tools/plan_push.py: guarded delete; tools/state.py: syncs to empire/
- README with features and setup; CLAUDE.md made generic
- Own-empire material (profile, state, plans, notes) moved to gitignored empire/;
  generic examples in plans/examples and state/company.example.yaml

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-09-19 00:11:02 +02:00
dodoxandClaude Sonnet 5 7a538cb300 Initial PuGa toolkit: data layer, econ, depth-aware scan, state sync, plan push
- puga/: cached FIO + PRUNplanner clients, market view with order-book walk,
  econ formulas ported from PRUNplanner (tested against its suite and live FIO),
  saturation model v1 (reviewed by Opus)
- tools/: scan (depth-aware), price, book, chain, state sync, plan_push
  (dry run default, [PuGa]-prefixed plans only), legacy prun_scan/prun_cxarb
- docs/: mechanics (PRUNplanner is source of truth), roadmap, decisions,
  saturation design, archived handoff
- secrets stay in .env (gitignored); ref/ holds PRUNplanner source (ignored)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-09-18 23:00:21 +02:00