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PuGa/docs/decisions.md
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dodoxandClaude Sonnet 5 74d05009fb Charge real freight in network.py/whatif.py; drop "ROI/day %" terminology
network.py: tools/network.py now computes freight cost from the real fuel
model (puga.shipping.round_trip_cost) for direct-jump transfers instead of
the flat 9250 AIC placeholder; gateway transfers or an explicit trip_cost
in the chain YAML still use that as a fallback. puga/network.py's combine()
docstring now flags that its "flows cancel, only freight matters" claim
only holds under a symmetric-price basis (uni30, the default) - under
--basis real it understates the benefit of physical transfer by the
bid-ask spread on the moved quantity.

whatif.py: now charges marginal freight too - only the EXTRA round trips
an addition needs beyond the base's existing traffic, so a small addition
riding along on already-necessary hauls costs ~0, while one that adds
meaningfully to shipped tonnage doesn't get a free pass.

Terminology: "profit/day ÷ capex" was being reported as "ROI/day X%",
which invites reading it as a compoundable rate. It's just 1/payback_days -
there's no reinvestment mechanism and every opportunity here is
capacity/market-limited, so it can't be annualized like a real yield.
Payback in days is now the primary number everywhere (scan.py, simulate.py,
network.py, whatif.py); see docs/decisions.md for the reasoning.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-10-09 13:33:13 +02:00

2.6 KiB

Decisions log

2026-09-18 Project plan and working agreements

  • Goal: agent-first toolkit; the player asks, the agent answers by running tools against live data. Not an end-user app.
  • PRUNplanner source (ref/) is the source of truth for mechanics; conflicts with the old handoff resolved in its favour (docs/mechanics.md).
  • Scope: whole universe, default region Antares (CX AI1). Python in .venv, secrets in .env, git branch master. No commits unless the player asks.
  • Every reported opportunity must include market saturation (buildings the market can absorb, fill-price ROI, absorbable profit/day). Reason: PRUNplanner's ROI Overview ranks recipes with no depth awareness (e.g. 0.25 day ROI on recipes 2 buildings saturate).
  • PRUNplanner integration: API key auth (Authorization: Api-Key <key>); plans can be created/updated via /planning/plan/. Writes only create/update/delete plans prefixed [PuGa] (enforced in tools/plan_push.py); never touch the player's other plans. Deleting is allowed only on request (or for throwaway test plans the tool itself made). When the player explicitly asks for a plan, creating it directly is fine; show the dry run in the reply.

Model and review policy

  • Default: Sonnet 5 does the building (API plumbing, CLIs, ports, tests).
  • Bigger model (Agent tool model: opus or fable, fresh context, brief with files and question) is allowed and expected at these points:
    1. Saturation model design, before building it, and again on real output.
    2. Econ formula port (efficiency stack, workforce, hab LP, extraction) checked against PRUNplanner numbers.
    3. plan_push payload handling and the own-plans-only guard.
    4. Big-money recommendations (e.g. BHP go/no-go, roughly 100k AIC): independent second opinion on the numbers.
  • If a bigger-model spawn is refused, tell the player and ask them to run the review.
  • Routine tool building is not reviewed by a bigger model.

2026-10-09 Drop "ROI/day %" terminology

  • profit/day ÷ new_capex (what tools were calling "ROI/day X%") is just 1/payback_days rewritten as a percentage. It is NOT a compoundable rate of return - there's no reinvestment mechanism, and every opportunity here is capacity/market-limited (saturation), so it can't be extrapolated or annualized like an interest rate.
  • Report payback in days as the primary number everywhere. A "%/day" figure, if shown at all, must be labelled as simple/non-compounding and never compared to a real yield/interest rate.
  • Applies to tools/whatif.py, tools/simulate.py, tools/scan.py, tools/persistence.py, tools/history.py, and anything built after this that reports a return on a one-time building cost.